Urban Supervolcano Investigated

User avatar
by
Published on November 10th, 2009, 12:49 am
Rift: Sciences
  
Most of us know about the Yellowstone Supervolcano, but at least there isn't a major city built in it.

Naples, on the other hand, is built in what the Romans thought of as the Gates of Hades. Although it hasn't erupted in 39,000 years, "A major eruption, like the one 39,000 years ago, would leave large parts of Europe buried under a thick layer of ash," as well as obliterating the entire 1 million population of Naples.

A program has been started to drill seven holes up to 4 km into the caldera to find out more.

New Scientist Will we see the next disaster coming? That's one of the questions an ambitious drilling project hopes to answer by sinking boreholes into Campi Flegrei, as the giant collapsed volcanic crater is now called. Starting as early as next month, the Campi Flegrei Deep Drilling Project is planning to drill seven holes in the region (see map).

Though the researchers on this particular project point out that any risk is small, it will begin amid debate about whether such endeavours are safe, given the unknowns of a volcano's interior. A few say drilling might even trigger a major eruption.

Though the caldera has no visible volcanic cone, it dwarfs nearby Vesuvius. "Most of the metropolitan area of Naples is located within the caldera," says Giuseppe De Natale of the National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology's (INGV) Vesuvius Observatory in Naples, who is leading the project.
Religion is regarded by the common people as true; by the wise as false, and by politicians as useful." Lucius Annaeus Seneca 4 BCE - 65CE
November 10th, 2009, 12:49 am
 
Though the researchers on this particular project point out that any risk is small, it will begin amid debate about whether such endeavours are safe, given the unknowns of a volcano's interior. A few say drilling might even trigger a major eruption.


There is a precedent. The Sidoarjo Mudflow was probably caused by the oil drilling there. I know the geology and other circumstances are completely different but it just goes to show there can be unintended consequences.
November 10th, 2009, 6:29 am
User avatar
Nfidel
 
Posts: 1037
Joined: July 29th, 2006, 11:17 pm
Hm. Like sticking several needles into a dragon's underside? :mrgreen:
November 10th, 2009, 7:24 am
User avatar
SouthernFriedInfidel
 
Posts: 8594
Joined: August 8th, 2006, 11:54 am
Location: 5th circle of hell -- actually not very crowded at the moment.
It's not a bad analogy. The dragon isn't any person's fault and will wake by itself in time, but the guy on the rig in the middle of a jet of superheated gas is going to get the blame - even if he is fried to a crisp.
Religion is regarded by the common people as true; by the wise as false, and by politicians as useful." Lucius Annaeus Seneca 4 BCE - 65CE
November 10th, 2009, 11:10 am
User avatar
A Person
 
Posts: 8582
Joined: November 25th, 2006, 2:30 pm
Why not quite volcanic, I do remember an article of dumping fluids in a fault in Colorado triggering earthquakes too....

So great... wonder what the chances are this super volcano and Yellowstone erupting simultaneously would be? Who needs nukes when you got mother nature?
May the fetus you save be gay.
November 10th, 2009, 4:02 pm
User avatar
Liv
 
Posts: 9874
Joined: October 5th, 2005, 1:59 pm
Location: Right here, waiting for you.

  Follow Me
Lubricating earthquakes zones is a classic example. It may release energy by triggering a minor earthquake instead of letting it build up to a massive one, but somebody is still going to get sued
Religion is regarded by the common people as true; by the wise as false, and by politicians as useful." Lucius Annaeus Seneca 4 BCE - 65CE
November 10th, 2009, 4:14 pm
User avatar
A Person
 
Posts: 8582
Joined: November 25th, 2006, 2:30 pm
Liv wrote:So great... wonder what the chances are this super volcano and Yellowstone erupting simultaneously would be? Who needs nukes when you got mother nature?

The CHANCES of it? As close to zero as you'll get, I bet.

But what would be the CONSEQUENCES if we hit the geological version of an anti-lottery? I expect it would make the old "nuclear winter" scenarios look mighty tame by comparison.
:doh:
November 11th, 2009, 8:39 am
User avatar
SouthernFriedInfidel
 
Posts: 8594
Joined: August 8th, 2006, 11:54 am
Location: 5th circle of hell -- actually not very crowded at the moment.
SouthernFriedInfidel wrote:The CHANCES of it? As close to zero as you'll get, I bet.

But what would be the CONSEQUENCES if we hit the geological version of an anti-lottery? I expect it would make the old "nuclear winter" scenarios look mighty tame by comparison.
:doh:


Are we sure? Couldn't the activity that large in either location cause for a worldwide geological event? Wouldn't the odds increase based on unstable crust activity?
May the fetus you save be gay.
November 11th, 2009, 8:49 am
User avatar
Liv
 
Posts: 9874
Joined: October 5th, 2005, 1:59 pm
Location: Right here, waiting for you.

  Follow Me
Liv wrote:
SouthernFriedInfidel wrote:The CHANCES of it? As close to zero as you'll get, I bet.

Are we sure? Couldn't the activity that large in either location cause for a worldwide geological event? Wouldn't the odds increase based on unstable crust activity?

I sort of doubt that any large-scale activity in Naples would translate into any significant dislocation of material in Yellow Stone. Except maybe the impact of a rock the size of Ceres falling from space. :mrgreen:
November 11th, 2009, 11:27 am
User avatar
SouthernFriedInfidel
 
Posts: 8594
Joined: August 8th, 2006, 11:54 am
Location: 5th circle of hell -- actually not very crowded at the moment.
Large earthquakes can trigger other faults to release, but volcanic eruptions - even big ones, do not have the seismic energy that fault releases have.

A supervolcano would certainly put our worries about global warming to bed for decades.
Religion is regarded by the common people as true; by the wise as false, and by politicians as useful." Lucius Annaeus Seneca 4 BCE - 65CE
November 11th, 2009, 12:45 pm
User avatar
A Person
 
Posts: 8582
Joined: November 25th, 2006, 2:30 pm
A Person wrote:Large earthquakes can trigger other faults to release, but volcanic eruptions - even big ones, do not have the seismic energy that fault releases have.

A supervolcano would certainly put our worries about global warming to bed for decades.

But it would make acid rain a hot topic for a long time... :lol:
November 11th, 2009, 4:53 pm
User avatar
SouthernFriedInfidel
 
Posts: 8594
Joined: August 8th, 2006, 11:54 am
Location: 5th circle of hell -- actually not very crowded at the moment.

Return to Sciences